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Who Flees Conflict? A Big-Data Approach to the Determinants of Forced Migration

Every year, millions of people encounter political violence and some leave their homes in pursuit of safety. What factors influence whether or not a person migrates to escape conflict? We use a multi-year longitudinal dataset of 63.5 million …

Descriptive Representation and the Dark Side of Conflict Reduction: Evidence from India's Maoist Rebellion

Can quotas for marginalized groups in democratic institutions reduce insurgent violence? Democracy-building is a common tool of modern counterinsurgencies, yet evidence is limited about whether and how it mitigates violence. We argue that descriptive …

Data Security in Political Science Research: An Agenda for Improvement

A large and growing body of social science research uses personal information from research subjects—often collected in collaboration with non-academic partners like private enterprise, governments, or NGOs. Consideration of the complex data security …

Facts Shape Feelings: An Information-Based Framework for Emotional Responses to Violence

Why don’t all survivors of violence become angry at perpetrators? When survivors are not angry at perpetrators, what emotions do they express? To answer these questions while protecting respondent privacy, I use topic modeling to analyze transcripts …

Uneven Accountability? Public Attitudes on Indian Foreign Policy since the 1960s

India is the world's largest democracy and is growing steadily more important in the international system, yet we know very little about how India's 800 million-person democratic public thinks about, and influences, foreign policy choices. This paper …

Fighting the Elements: Assessing a Sino-Indian Conflict at Doklam

Tensions remain high between India and China over territorial control of the Doklam Plateau. What arc would a military confrontation over this territory follow? I analyze the capabilities and doctrines of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) of China …