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Understanding Indian Public Opinion Toward China: Evidence from Seven Decades of Survey Data

India is increasingly important in world politics, yet we know little about how Indians view international affairs. This paper analyzes a unique collection of Indian public opinion data about China spanning seven decades, The paper compares evidence …

Situational Appraisals Shape Preferences for Escalation and Conciliation in Foreign Policy Crises

What determines whether the public supports aggressive, conciliatory, or business-as-usual strategies in response to military and foreign policy crises? What explains why similar and reasonable people diverge in their preferred policies for dealing …

Emotions and Flight from Violence: Evidence from Punjabi/English Video Archives

When people are exposed to violence, do their emotional experiences help explain what they will do in order to survive? Which emotions predict politically consequential strategies like fleeing violence? I analyze an under-used and widely available …

Who Flees Conflict? A Big-Data Approach to the Determinants of Forced Migration

Every year, millions of people encounter political violence and some leave their homes in pursuit of safety. What factors influence whether or not a person migrates to escape conflict? We use a multi-year longitudinal dataset of 63.5 million …

Fighting the Elements: Assessing a Sino-Indian Conflict at Doklam

Tensions remain high between India and China over territorial control of the Doklam Plateau. What arc would a military confrontation over this territory follow? I analyze the capabilities and doctrines of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) of China …